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Houston vs. Tennessee odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

Grant Grubbs Profile Pictureby:Grant Grubbs03/28/25

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The Elite Eight is officially set. On Sunday, 1-seed Houston will square off against 2-seed Tennessee with a chance to advance to Final Four on the line.

On Friday, Houston defeated Purdue 62-60 in a nail-biter. Milos Uzan stole the show for the Cougars, notching a team-high 22 points and six assists. As usual, Houston’s defense was stellar as well, holding Purdue to just 40% shooting.

Houston isn’t the only team that looked dangerous in the Sweet Sixteen. Tennessee handily defeated Kentucky 78-65 in the two teams’ third meeting of the season. Zakai Zeigler was phenomenal for the Volunteers, recording 18 points and 10 assists.

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Odds for Houston vs. Tennessee

According to FanDuel, Houston is a 3.5-point favorite against Tennessee. Additionally, the Cougars boast -164 odds on the money line.

The over/under for the game is set at just 124.5 points. For reference, Houston is averaging 74.2 points per game while Tennessee is averaging a nearly-identical 74.7.

Final score prediction for Houston vs. Tennessee

KenPom Predicted final score: Houston 63, Tennessee 61
KenPom Win probability (for Houston): 58%

KenPom is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time without taking factors like injuries into account. KenPom projects Houston to punch its ticket to San Antonio with a 63-61 win over the Volunteers.

How to watch Houston vs. Tennessee

Time: 2:20 p.m. ET, Sunday
Channel: CBS
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium — Indianapolis, IN

1-seed Houston and 2-seed Tennessee will square off on Sunday at 2:20 p.m. ET inside Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. The winner will punch their ticket to the Final Four in San Antonio, Texas.

Houston has reached the Final Four six times in its program history, most recently in 2021. However, the Volunteers have never appeared in the Final Four. Both programs will be hungry for a win on Sunday.

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