Illinois vs. Kentucky odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

No. 3 seed Kentucky will take on No. 6 seed Illinois in the Round of 32 on Sunday. It will be the first meeting between the two programs in four decades.

The Wildcats advanced past the first round after defeating Troy 76-57 on Friday night. Illinois followed that up with an 86-73 win over Xavier, cementing its matchup against the Wildcats in the second round.

Ahead of tip-off, the odds, final score prediction and more have been updated heading into Sunday’s Round of 32 game in the NCAA Tournament. Here’s everything you need to know.

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Odds for Illinois vs. Kentucky

Sunday’s Round of 32 game, Illinois (-120) is a 1.5-point favorite over Kentucky (+100) in Milwaukee, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 169.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Kentucky
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.7
BPI Win probability (for Wildcats): 52.6%
BPI Matchup Quality: 91.1

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In a somewhat rare occurance, BPI does not agree with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.7 points in the Wildcats’ favor. It also gives Kentucky an 52.6 percent chance to win the game over the Illini.

KenPom Predicted final score: Illinois 85, Kentucky 84
KenPom Win probability (for Illini): 51%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Illinois and Kentucky, KenPom agrees disagrees with the BPI, projecting the Wildcats to lose.

How to watch Illinois vs. Kentucky

Time: 5:15 p.m. ET – Sunday, March 23
Channel: CBS, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Fiserv Forum – Milwaukee, WI

These two programs historically do not play often, as the last meeting came nearly 41 years ago to the day on March 24, 1984. Kentucky holds an 11-4 record over the Fighting Illini all-time, including wins in 10 of the last 12 matchups dating back to the late 1940s.

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