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Kansas vs. Baylor odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Jayhawks, Bears

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko03/02/24

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The odds and predictions are in for Kansas and Baylor this afternoon and boy, it’s going to be a good basketball game in the Big 12.

Despite being No. 7 in the country, the Jayhawks are the underdog against their No. 15 ranked foes. The Bears have the home-court advantage down in Waco.

Let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for Saturday’s big showdown.

Odds for Kansas vs. Baylor

Going into this one, the Baylor Bears are 5.5-point favorites at home, per FanDuel. The Jayhawks are the higher-ranked squad, but the Bears even have -240 odds on the money line.
If you want to bet on Kansas, the Jayhawks are +195 on the moneyline. As far as the total, it’s listed at 145.5, so it is expected to be a decently high-scoring game Saturday.

Final score predictions for Kansas vs. Baylor

BPI Predicted winner: Baylor
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.7
BPI Win probability (for Baylor): 71.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 87.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. This model has the Bears getting the upset win, based on the rankings. But since Baylor is at home, the guys in green and white have the advantage.

The matchup quality is at 87.8 for Saturday’s contest. That’s good for No. 8 overall on the college basketball slate Saturday.

KenPom predicted final score: Baylor wins 76-71
KenPom win probability (for Baylor): 65%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. This metric has the game being a little but closer than ESPN.

It’s actually pretty much in line with the betting odds from FanDuel. Although, Baylor is still the winner in this contest on paper.

How to watch Kansas vs. Baylor

Time: 1:00 PM ET
Channel: ABC/FuboTV (Streaming)
Location: Waco (Texas)

Baylor gets the edge over Kansas and fans can check out the game down in Waco or on ABC this afternoon.

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