Kansas vs. Duke odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Sin City will see a blue-blood matchup tonight in the top-twelve between No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 11 Duke in the Terry’s Chocolate Vegas Showdown.

The Jayhawks (5-0) have maintained their spot as the top team in the nation to this point in the season. The Blue Devils (4-1) then have responded to their first loss of the year as of late, especially with what they did out west already to end last week.

Kansas is still at No. 1 in the AP Poll through three weeks with what they’ve done through five games. After their opener, they won two games against other quality brands in North Carolina and then versus Michigan State in the Champions Classic. They’ve now since won two more with their average margin of victory to this point being by 16 points. Hunter Dickinson is leading the way for them as a graduate student with a double-double of 17.8 points and 10.4 rebounds while six other players are posting anywhere from seven to thirteen points per game.

Duke is now outside of the Top-10 but it still one of the better teams in the country. They did have three blowouts over their first four games but the other outcome was a five-point loss to Kentucky in the Champions Classic. However, they made up for it by playing against Arizona in a true road game in Tucson within the Top-20 and winning at 69-55. With that, Cooper Flagg, the freshman phenom, is still in the spotlight for the Blue Devils with 17.8 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 3.8 assists with balanced contributions from there on their roster.

Odds for Kansas vs. Duke

Per the odds at FanDuel, Duke opened as a 3.5-point favorite (-102) over the top-ranked team in the country. That gives some slight value to the Jayhawks with them at (+126) on the moneyline.

The over/under for the game is then set at a total of 148.5 points.

Final score predictions for Kansas vs. Duke

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.4
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 70.4
BPI Matchup Quality: 94.2

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) has entered their prediction for tonight for Duke with a win probability of 70.4%. With that, their predicted point differential for the Blue Devils is just over five points.

As for the matchup quality, Kansas vs. Duke is the third highest-rated game of the day behind only No. 4 Auburn vs. No. 12 North Carolina in a semifinal in the Maui Invitational and then No. 6 Houston vs. No. 9 Alabama in the Players Era Festival with this game being played less than a mile away around the same time from Las Vegas.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 75, Kansas 70
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 65%

KenPom also favors Duke by a final margin of five with its predicted final score being at 75-70. That was entered with a lesser number in win probability for the Blue Devils at 65%

How to watch Kansas vs. Duke

Time: 9 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, Nevada)