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Kansas vs. Kansas State odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax02/08/25

BarkleyTruax

Hunter Dickinson Kansas State
© Scott Sewell-Imagn Images

No. 16 Kansas travels to Manhattan to face their bitter rival Kansas State in Big 12 Conference action on Saturday afternoon.

The Wildcats appear to be playing their best basketball of the season heading into the weekend. They’ve won their last four games and a win against the Jayhawks would push K-State’s record to over .500 for the first time since early January.

For KU, they’re fresh off upsetting No. 8 Iowa State on Monday night, dispatching the Cyclones 69-52 inside the Phog. That performance came just 48 hours after the Jayhawks fell 81-70 to unranked Baylor last weekend.

Ahead of Saturday’s matchup, here’s everything you need to know about Kansas vs. Kansas State.

Odds for Jayhawks vs. Wildcats

Entering Saturday’s eagerly-anticipated matchup, the Jayhawks (-178) are a 4.5-point favorite over Kansas State (+146) at home, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 140.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Kansas
BPI Predicted point differential: 7.2
BPI Win probability (for Jayhawks): 76.0%
BPI Matchup Quality: 79.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 7.2 points in the Jayhawks’ favor. It also gives KU an over 70 percent chance to win the game over the Wildcats.

KenPom Predicted final score: Kansas 73, Kansas State 68
KenPom Win probability (for Jayhawks): 70%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Kansas and Kansas State, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Wildcats to lose.

How to watch Kansas vs. Kansas State

Time: 2 p.m. ET – Saturday, Feb. 8
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Bramlage Coliseum – Manhattan, KS

The Jayhawks lead the all-time series between the two programs 205-96.

This includes the matchup between KU and K-State on Jan. 18 that saw the Jayhawks defeat the Wildcats 84-74 on their home floor. Hunter Dickinson scored 45 points, while Zeke Mayo added 24 to help lead Kansas to victory.

At the time, the loss dropped Kansas State to 7-10 on the season. They’re 4-1 in their five games since tasting defeat to their rival, including wins over ranked West Virginia and Iowa State teams — both of which have wins over the Jayhawks this season.