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Kansas vs. Oklahoma odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Jayhawks, Sooners

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax02/17/24

BarkleyTruax

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Jay Biggerstaff | USA TODAY Sports

No. 6 Kansas is looking to get back on track after losing two of its last three games when the Jayhawks travel to Norman on Saturday for a matchup against No. 25 Oklahoma.

The Jayhawks are 2-5 in true road games this season and have lost their last four away from Allen Fieldhouse dating back to Jan. 16. Meanwhile, the Sooners are 13-2 at home this season and expect themselves to successfully defend home court against Kansas on Saturday.

This will be the second of two matchups between the Jayhawks and Sooners. Kansas bested a then-ranked No. 9 Oklahoma team 78-66 in Lawrence.

Odds for Kansas vs. Oklahoma

Coming into the game, Kansas is a 2.5-point favorite over Oklahoma, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Jayhawks are currently listed at -140 for the moneyline as of Saturday morning, while the Sooners are sitting at +120.

The point total for the game is set at 142.5 points.

Final score predictions for Kansas vs. Oklahoma

BPI Predicted winner: Oklahoma
BPI Predicted point differential: 1.3
BPI Win probability (for Oklahoma): 54.8 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 94.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 1.3 points in Oklahoma’s favor. It also gives the Sooners a 54.8 percent chance to win the game over the Jayhawks at home.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 94.8, which ranks No. 1 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Oklahoma 74, Kansas 68
KenPom Win probability (for Oklahoma): 56 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Kansas and Oklahoma, KenPom agrees with BPI’s decision to have the Sooners upset Kansas while the Vegas’ consensus is projecting a Jayhawk victory over Oklahoma on Saturday.

How to watch Kansas vs. Oklahoma

Time: 4 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Lloyd Noble Center — Norman, Oklahoma

The opening tip between the Jayhawks and Sooners is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET and will air live on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.