Kentucky vs. Mississippi State odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

No. 6 Kentucky (12-3, 1-1 SEC) travels to Starkville seeking its first true road win of the season against a hot No. 14 Mississippi State (14-1, 2-0 SEC) team that is hungry to best the Wildcats on their home court.

The Bulldogs won their first two SEC games by 12 and 35 points respectively, while the Wildcats split their first two conference matchups that includes a win against No. 8 Florida and a double-digit road loss to unranked Georgia earlier this week.

Ahead of tip-off, the odds, final score prediction and more have been updated heading into Saturday’s exciting slate of college basketball.

Odds for Wildcats vs. Bulldogs

Entering Saturday’s SEC matchup, Mississippi State (-230) is a 5.5-point favorite over Kentucky (+155) at home, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 160.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Mississippi State
BPI Predicted point differential: 3.4
BPI Win probability (for Bulldogs): 63.4%
BPI Matchup Quality: 88.4

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 3.4 points in the Bulldogs’ favor. It also gives the Bulldogs a 63.4 percent chance to win the game over the Wildcats.

KenPom Predicted final score: Mississippi State 84, Kentucky 78
KenPom Win probability (for Bulldogs): 69%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Mississippi State and Kentucky, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Wildcats to lose.

How to watch Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET – Saturday, Jan. 11
Channel: SEC Network, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Humphrey Coliseum – Starkville, MS

While Vegas, ESPN and KenPom all favor the Bulldogs — history has not been on Mississippi State’s side during this season. Kentucky hasn’t lost a regular season game to the Bulldogs since Feb. 2009. Kentucky has won nine consecutive matchups in Starkville. The Wildcats also own a 101-29 record over Mississippi State all-time.

Last season, the Wildcats were able to squeeze past Mississippi State 91-89 inside Humphrey Coliseum. Kentucky won the first meeting 90-77 as well.