Kentucky vs. Texas odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

On Saturday, No. 15 Kentucky (17-7, 6-5) will square off against Texas (15-10, 4-8) at 8 p.m. ET in the Moody Center. It will be the first meeting between the two teams since Texas joined the SEC in July last year.

After losing back-to-back games against Arkansas and Ole Miss, Kentucky has bounced back and is on a two-game win streak. Most recently, the ‘Cats secured a season sweep over Tennessee with a 75-64 win over the Volunteers on Tuesday.

Unlike Kentucky, February hasn’t been kind to the Longhorns. Texas has lost three straight games and will be hungry to pick up a win on Saturday. Evidently, oddsmakers expect the Longhorns’ desperation to play a factor against the Wildcats.

Odds for Kentucky vs. Texas

According to FanDuel, Texas is a 1.5-point favorite against Kentucky. The Longhorns are -125 on the money line and over/under is set at 157.5 points.

If both teams produce their usual offensive output, they’ll easily hit the over. Texas is averaging 78.6 points per game while UK is averaging 86.3, the third-most in the nation. On Saturday, oddsmakers seemingly expect Texas to slow down Kentucky’s explosive offense.

Final score predictions for Kentucky vs. Texas

BPI Predicted winner: Texas
BPI Predicted point differential: 1.2
BPI Win probability (for Texas): 54.8 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 89.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with FanDuel and expects Texas to escape with a narrow victory. Kentucky-Texas boasts the fifth-highest BPI matchup quality of all college basketball games on Saturday.

KenPom Predicted final score: Kentucky 82, Texas 81
KenPom Win probability (for Kentucky): 53 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. Unlike Las Vegas, KenPom projects Kentucky to pull out the victory over the Longhorns.

How to watch Kentucky vs. Texas

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Austin, TX

Fans can catch the highly-anticipated showdown between Kentucky and Texas on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET Saturday. They can also stream the SEC Showdown on FuboTV.

Texas will have the homecourt advantage over UK as the two teams face off in the Moody Center, which holds approximately 15,000 people. The Wildcats can expect to be in front of a full house on Saturday.