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Kentucky vs. Duke odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

On3 imageby:Sam Gillenwater11/12/24

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Kentucky's Jaxson Robinson, Duke's Cooper Flagg
Jordan Prather & Zachary Taft | Imagn Images

The Champions Classic will feature one of the bluest of blue blood matchups tomorrow night when No. 19 Kentucky vs. No. 6 Duke tips off in Atlanta.

The Top-20 meeting between the Wildcats and the Blue Devils will feature two very different teams coming into this season.

Kentucky is as mature as they’ve ever been on their roster with an entirely new team that comprises of nine transfers, eight of which are upperclassmen and seven of which are either seniors or graduate students. That, paired with the approach of their new head coach in Mark Pope, has UK off to a 2-0 start where they’re averaging 101.5 points.

Duke, though, while still having experienced pieces, is as young as they are talented with the No. 1 recruiting class of six freshmen, including the No. 1 prospect in the sport in Cooper Flagg. They have been impressive to open the year as well with an average margin of victory of 38 points in their start at 2-0 too.

As for the Champions Classic itself, Duke and Kentucky have opposite overall records in this season-opening event. The Blue Devils are tied with Kansas with the best record in the classic at 8-5 while the Wildcats are tied with Michigan State at the other end of that at 5-8.

With that, here’s how this game between all-time programs sets up ahead of Tuesday night inside State Farm Arena:

Odds for Kentucky vs. Duke

Per the lines at FanDuel, Duke is a 6.5-point favorite (-110) tomorrow over Kentucky. That has the Wildcats at (+220) on the moneyline as the underdog.

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The over-under for the game is also set at 161.5 points.

Final score predictions for Kentucky vs. Duke

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.5
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 70.8 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 93.8

ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) has this game as the highest-quality one on the slate for November 12th. It also is favoring the Blue Devils with a point differential of 5.5 and a win probability of just over 70%.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 83, Kentucky 76
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 74%

KenPom has this as a Top-30 matchup between Duke at No. 3 and Kentucky at No. 30 in their ratings. It too is leaning toward the Blue Devils as well with a prediction of a seven-point outcome with their probability being even higher at 74%.

How to watch Kentucky vs. Duke

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: State Farm Arena (Atlanta, Georgia)

Kentucky and Duke are among the very best brands in the history of college basketball. However, only one of them is opening this current season at 3-0 after meeting again tomorrow in The ATL.