Louisville vs. Duke odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch ACC Tournament

Duke and Louisville are set to do battle for the ACC Tournament championship on Saturday. However, the top two seeds in the conference almost didn’t make the final game.

Duke advanced through to the championship game after defeating rival North Carolina 72-71 on Friday. For Louisville, they also escaped a one-score semifinal bout. The Cardinals went on to defeat Clemson 76-73 after trailing by as many a seven points during the contest.

Ahead of tip-off, the odds, final score prediction and more have been updated heading into Saturday’s championship game in the ACC. Here’s everything you need to know.

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Odds for ACC Tournament Championship game

Entering Saturday’s ACC Tournament final, Duke (-240) is a 5.5-point favorite over Louisville (+195) in Charlotte, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 145.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 11.5
BPI Win probability (for Blue Devils): 82.6%
BPI Matchup Quality: 88.1

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 11.5 points in the Blue Devils’ favor. It also gives Duke an 82.6 percent chance to win the game over the Cardinals.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 79, Louisville 69
KenPom Win probability (for Blue Devils): 83%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Duke and Louisville, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Cardinals to lose.

How to watch Louisville vs. Duke

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET – Saturday, March 15
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Spectrum Center – Charlotte, NC

Saturday will mark the second time these two teams have met this season. The first happened in December on the Cardinals’ home court, which the Blue Devils won 76-65 in the ACC opener.

If Duke wins, it will be the Blue Devils’ 23rd ACC Tournament title — the most all-time by any program in conference history. For Louisville, they have never won the ACC Tournament having joined the conference a decade ago.

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