LSU vs. Kentucky odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

With the final week of the regular season here in the SEC, there’s one last matchup in the bluegrass on the schedule with LSU vs. No. 19 Kentucky on Tuesday.

Kentucky (19-10, 8-8) will host Senior Night tonight in Rupp Arena for six players who were huge parts of this first roster for Mark Pope. From there, the Wildcats will tip it off in an important game for their seeding in the SEC Tournament. They’re in the middle of the league with five wins in their last dozen with this one helping to determine whether they’ll play with or without a bye come next week in Nashville. That said, their lineup is also now the most set that it’s been in a month with the return of Lamont Butler as well as the final designation on Jaxson Robinson.

LSU (14-15, 3-13) is then coming to Lexington in looks of an upset win that’ll get them back to .500 on the season. The Tigers have lost three straight, all against ranked opponents, with two separate three-game skids and one seven-game losing streak in conference. They’ll now play each of their final two against rated opponents as well. That leaves a lot on Cam Carter (16.9 ppg., 2.6 apg.) to carry, especially with three of their leading contributors as doubtful or out on the injury report.

Odds for LSU vs. Kentucky

Per the odds at FanDuel, Kentucky is a 12.5-point favorite over the Tigers. That has LSU at (+570) on the moneyline as the double-digit underdog on the road.

The over-under is then set at 158.5 points. That’s with the Wildcats having one of the highest-scoring offenses in the nation but yet pairing that with a much-poorer defense.

Final score predictions for LSU vs. Kentucky

BPI Predicted Winner: Kentucky
BPI Predicted Point Differential: 11.3
BPI Win Probability (for Kentucky): 85.8%
BPI Matchup Quality: 76.7

ESPN’s Basketball Power Index (BPI) has Kentucky winning by double-digits with a prediction of 11.3 points. Their probability of the win is then set at 85.8%.

As for matchup quality, this is only the tenth-best game on the slate tonight in college basketball. It’s behind several other key conference games, including being the fourth-best of five games in the SEC behind No. 1 Auburn vs. No. 22 Texas A&M, Texas vs. No. 25 Mississippi State, and Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt.

KenPom Predicted Final Score: Kentucky 86, LSU 72
KenPom Win Probability (for Kentucky): 89%

The projections at KenPom have a similar outcome projected for tonight’s game between the Tigers and Wildcats. They also have Kentucky winning by double-digits around that same total with another like probability of 89%.

How to watch LSU vs. Kentucky

Time: 7:00 p.m. EST
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (Streaming)
Location: Rupp Arena (Lexington, Kentucky)

This one is more important for Kentucky considering it’s their final home game of the season with them playing for seeding in the SEC Tournament and the NCAA Tournament. Still, LSU could spoil the night with a close game or outright win over UK.