LSU vs. Arkansas odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tigers, Razorbacks

The LSU Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks are set to meet on the hardwood Wednesday night in a rematch of a game from early February. In the previous meeting, which was played in Baton Rouge, the Tigers were able to pull away and win by 21, but a much closer game is expected this time.

LSU comes into the game as winners of four out of their last five games. That’s helped push the Tigers to the middle of the pack in the SEC ahead of the conference tournament. Arkansas, meanwhile, is currently 12th in the SEC standings, needing to find a way to snap a two-game losing streak.

Ahead of this key SEC battle, here is a look at the odds, win probability, final score predictions, and how to watch LSU take on Arkansas.

Odds for LSU vs. Arkansas

Coming into the game, Arkansas is a 3.5-point favorite over LSU, per FanDuel. The Razorbacks are also currently listed at -178 for the moneyline, while the Tigers are sitting at +146.

The point total for this game is currently set at 155.5 points. In their first meeting, these two teams scored 169 total points, largely on the back of a 95-point performance from the Tigers.

Final score predictions for LSU vs. Arkansas

BPI Predicted winner: Arkansas
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.1
BPI Win probability (for Arkansas): 50.4 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 79.3

ESPN’s BPI is a predictive model in college basketball that is designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In this case, it’s predicting a very close game that Arkansas manages to win by 0.1 point. BPI is giving the Razorbacks a 50.4 percent chance to win.

On top of all that, BPI is giving this game a matchup quality score of 79.3. That’s the ninth highest matchup quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Arkansas 78, LSU 77
KenPom Win probability (for Arkansas): 50 percent

KenPom is another predictive system used in college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, predicting a close win for Arkansas over LSU. Notably, KenPom also predicts that 155 points will be scored in total during this game.

How to watch LSU vs. Arkansas

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SECN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Fayetteville, AR

LSU and Arkansas are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. The game is scheduled to be played at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas, making it a home game for the Razorbacks.

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For fans who can’t make it to the game, it will be aired on the SEC Network. The game is also going to be available for streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.