Michigan State vs. Michigan odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Spartans, Wolverines

Michigan State and Michigan are set to do battle Saturday and the odds and predictions are in for this contest between the Spartans and Wolverines.

It looks like the Spartans are a heavy favorite. However, the Wolverines are at home and again, this is why you play the game on the court and not paper.

Let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for the latest edition of this in-state rivalry.

Odds for Michigan State vs. Michigan

Michigan State is listed as a 5.5 point favorite on the road against its in-state rival, per FanDuel. If you want to bet the money line, the Spartans are -240 straight up while Michigan is +195.

The total is set at 143.5, so if you want to bet the over or under, it’ll be a reasonably high scoring affair Saturday.

Final score predictions for Michigan State vs. Michigan

BPI Predicted winner: Michigan State
BPI Predicted point differential: 8.6
BPI Win probability (for Michigan State): 80%
BPI Matchup Quality: 74.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. This metric favors Michigan State heavily with the point differential. Not only that, ESPN gives the Spartans an 80% chance to win. Doesn’t look so good for the Wolverines.

The matchup quality is also a shade below 75. In a loaded Saturday slate, it is the No. 25 rated game.

KenPom predicted final score: Michigan State wins 76-69
KenPom win probability (for Michigan State): 72%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. This metric has the game being a little closer than ESPN at this rate. 

How to watch Michigan State vs. Michigan

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2/FuboTV (Streaming)
Location: Ann Arbor (Mich.)

Neither team is ranked in the top 25, but it’ll be an interesting battle in the Big Ten as the Spartans look to keep improving their NCAA Tournament resume. The Wolverines look for an upset in this one.

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