Michigan State vs. Purdue odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Big Ten Tournament

Top-seeded Purdue will finally get its turn to compete in the Big Ten Tournament on Friday afternoon where they’ll take on Michigan State.

The Spartans won their second-round matchup against Minnesota 77-67 on Thursday behind a 17-point, 100% shooting performance from senior guard AJ Hoggard. He’ll look to be just as productive against the Boilermakers in the quarterfinals after shooting 3 of 13 in the two team’s last meeting on March 2. Purdue won that matchup 80-74 behind Zach Edey‘s 32-point, 11-rebound double-double.

Whoever emerges victorious between the Spartans and Boilermakers will face either Wisconsin or Northwestern in the semifinals on Saturday.

Purdue will be looking to win its second consecutive Big Ten Tournament championship this weekend. They’re two wins away from earning a conference tournament final for the third straight year, but the Spartans will gladly be looking to play spoiler on Edey and the Boilermakers.

Odds for Michigan State vs. Purdue

Coming into the game, Purdue is a 6.5-point favorite over Michigan State, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Boilermakers are currently listed at -275 for the money line as of Thursday evening, while the Spartans are sitting at +220.

The point total for the game is set at 143.5 points. The two squads scored a combined for 154 points during their March 2 matchup. Purdue leads the conference in points per game (84.2), while Michigan State in the bottom five averaging 73.5 points per game. Still, if these two meet their season averages, the over will hit.

Final score predictions for Michigan State vs. Purdue

KenPom Predicted final score: Purdue 75, Michigan State 69
KenPom Win probability (for Purdue): 72 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Purdue and Michigan State, KenPom agrees with Vegas’ decision to have the Boilermakers take care of the Spartans.

How to watch Michigan State vs. Purdue

Time: Noon ET
Channel: BTN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Target Center — Minneapolis, MN

Fubo’s spring offer just kicked off – For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on their first month of Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans.

The opening tip between the Spartans and Boilermakers is scheduled for Noon ET and will air live on the Big Ten Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.