Michigan vs. Texas A&M odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

No. 14 Michigan and No. 19 Texas A&M square off Saturday in the second round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament after both advanced out of the first round in the South Region. The fifth-seeded Wolverines (26-9) edged out No. 12 seed UC-San Diego, 68-65, on Thursday, while the fourth-seeded Aggies (23-10) dispatched 13-seeded Yale, 80-71, also Thursday.

Michigan enters the game winners of four straight games, including claiming the Big Ten Tournament championship last week, while the Aggies are looking to start a winning streak of their own after losing five of their last eight games, including their lone game in last week’s SEC Tournament in Nashville against rival Texas.

Texas A&M is led by senior point guard Wade Taylor IV, who is averaging 15.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists for the Aggies. Meanwhile, Michigan is fueled by its dual 7-footers in senior Vladislav Goldin (avg. 16.6 points and 6.8 rebounds) and junior Danny Wolf (avg. 13 points and 9.9 rebounds), with junior guard Tre Donaldson (11.6 points and 4.2 assists) running point.

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Odds for Michigan vs. Texas A&M

Entering the Round of 32, No. 4-seed Texas A&M is a slight 2.5-point favorite over 5th-seeded Michigan, per FanDuel. The Aggies out of the SEC are also listed with a -144 moneyline, while the Wolverines are sitting at +120.

Oddsmakers expect a close, low-scoring game. The point total for the game is currently set at 140.5 points.

Final score predictions for Michigan vs. Texas A&M

BPI Predicted winner: Texas A&M
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.1
BPI Win probability (for Texas A&M): 58.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 87.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of just 2.1 points in the Aggies’ favor. It also gives Texas A&M a slight 58.1% chance to win the NCAA Tournament game over the Wolverines.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 87.8. That is the fifth-best quality score of Saturday’s slate of games.

KenPom Predicted final score: Texas A&M 70, Michigan 69
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 53%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this NCAA Tournament game between Texas A&M and Michigan, KenPom expects it to be even closer than BPI and Vegas, with the Aggies projected to win by just a single point.

How to watch Michigan vs. Texas A&M

Time: 5:15 pm ET, Saturday
Channel: CBS
Location: Ball Arena, Denver (Colorado)

Michigan and Texas A&M tip off at 5:15 pm ET on Saturday from inside Denver’s Ball Arena in the second round of the 2025 NCAA Tournament. For fans that can’t make the game, it will be televised on CBS. Coverage of the NCAA Tournament will air live throughout the day on TNT, TruTV, CBS and TBS.

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