Minnesota vs. Michigan State odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Big Ten Tournament

Minnesota will meet Michigan State on Thursday afternoon in a second-round matchup of the Big Ten Tournament. It will mark the first game of the postseason for both squads.

This will be the third meeting between the two squads this season. The two squads split their previous two matchups, with Minnesota most recently winning 59-56 at home on Feb. 6.

The victor of Saturday’s opening second-round matchup will face top-seeded Purdue on Friday in the quarterfinals.

Odds for Minnesota vs. Michigan State

Coming into the game, Michigan State is a 6.5-point favorite over Minnesota, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Spartans are currently listed at -300 for the money line as of Wednesday night, while the Golden Gophers are sitting at +240.

The point total for the game is set at 134.5 points. The two squads scored a combined 115 points during their Feb. 6 meeting but surpassed the expected under/over total in Michigan State’s 76-66 Jan. 18 win.

Final score predictions for Minnesota vs. Michigan State

BPI Predicted winner: Michigan State
BPI Predicted point differential: 8.4
BPI Win probability (for Michigan State): 79.7 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 76.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Heading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 8.4 points in Michigan State’s favor. It also gives the Spartans a 79.7 percent chance to win the game over the Gophers.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 76.7. This ranks the matchup as the No. 5 in quality scores predicted for the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Michigan State 72, Minnesota 66
KenPom Win probability (for Michigan State): 55 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between Minnesota and Michigan State, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas’ decision to have the Spartans take care of the Gophers.

How to watch Minnesota vs. Michigan State

Time: Noon ET
Channel: BTN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Target Center — Minneapolis, Minnesota

Fubo’s spring offer just kicked off – For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on their first month of Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans.

The opening tip between the Gophers and Spartans is scheduled for Noon. ET and will air live on BTN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.