Mississippi State vs. Auburn odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Bulldogs, Tigers

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Auburn Tigers are preparing for what’s slated to be a huge SEC showdown on Saturday afternoon.

Entering Saturday’s clash, the Bulldogs are 19-9 on the season, coming off a loss to the Kentucky Wildcats in their last contest. On the other hand, the Tigers have been among the best teams in the nation over the 2023-2024 campaign, and enter Saturday with a 21-7 record.

Both teams are looking for a win on Saturday and a victory in a conference rivalry. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before Mississippi State and Auburn tip-off.

Odds for Mississippi State vs. Auburn

Coming into the game, Auburn is a 9.5-point favorite over Mississippi State, per FanDuel. The Tigers are also currently listed at -450 for the moneyline right now, while the Bulldogs are sitting at +360. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 145.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference rivals can get to that total when they clash on Saturday. 

Final score predictions for Mississippi State vs. Auburn

BPI Predicted winner: Auburn
BPI Predicted point differential: 12
BPI Win probability (for Auburn): 86%
BPI Matchup Quality: 81.4

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 12 points in Auburn’s favor. It also gives the Tigers an 86 percent chance to win the game over the Bulldogs. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 81.4, which is in the middle of the road for Saturday’s competition. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Auburn 77, Mississippi State 68
KenPom Win probability (for Auburn): 81%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Mississippi State and Auburn, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Tigers to win.

How to watch Mississippi State vs. Auburn

Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Neville Arena | Auburn, AL

Mississippi State and Auburn are set to tip off at 4:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Neville Arena in Auburn, AL with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on ESPN2. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.