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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko02/15/25

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Mississippi State and Ole Miss are ready to renew their rivalry on the court Saturday and the odds are in for this showdown in the SEC!

Both teams are looking to make moves in the top 25 as well as the Rebels play host to the rival Bulldogs. This would be a good one on Saturday evening!

Without further ado, let’s dive into the latest odds.

Odds for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

Ole Miss opened up as a 4.5 point favorite over Mississippi State, according to FanDuel. The total was set at 146.5 points.

If you want to bet the moneyline, the Rebels were listed as a -200 favorite while the Bulldogs are +164 straight up.

Final score predictions for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

BPI Predicted winner: Ole Miss
BPI Predicted point differential: 4.8
BPI Win probability (for Ole Miss): 68.4%
BPI Matchup Quality: 83.6

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. This model is close to the FanDuel odds as the Rebels are favored by nearly five points at home.

The percentage to win is nearing 70%, so it might be wise to pick Ole Miss. The matchup quality is 83.6, which is good for No. 7 overall in the Saturday slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Ole Miss 76, Mississippi State 71
KenPom Win probability (for Ole Miss): 70%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. This metric favors the rebels even more.

They’re favored to win by five over the Bulldogs and their winning percentage changes are at 70%. Sounds like Mississippi State is a bigger underdog the more you read into the game.

How to watch Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2
Location: Oxford, Mississippi

The Rebels will be the host Saturday, giving them the home court advantage. Both teams are ranked in the top 25, so anything can happen. This will certainly help for seeding in the SEC and NCAA Tournaments.