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Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Bulldogs, Aggies

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra03/06/24

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TAMU MISS
© Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas A&M Aggies are preparing for what’s slated to be a huge SEC showdown on Wednesday evening.

Entering Wednesday’s clash, Mississippi State is 19-10 on the season, although they enter the game on a two-game skid. On the other hand, Texas A&M is fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives at the moment, currently 16-13 on the season..

Nevertheless, both teams have their motivations for a win on Wednesday, as they’re looking for a victory in a conference rivalry. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before Mississippi State and Texas A&M tip off.

Odds for Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M

Coming into the game, Texas A&M is a 2.5-point favorite over Mississippi State, per FanDuel. The Aggies are also currently listed at -145 for the moneyline right now, while Mississippi State is sitting at +125. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 139.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference rivals can get to that total when they clash on Wednesday. 

Final score predictions for Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M

BPI Predicted winner: Texas A&M
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.5
BPI Win probability (for Texas A&M): 59.8
BPI Matchup Quality: 89.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.5 points in Texas A&M’s favor. It also gives them an 59.8 percent chance to win the game over Mississippi State. 

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BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 89.8 , which is among the best for Wednesday’s competition. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Texas A&M 70, Mississippi State 69
KenPom Win probability (for Texas A&M): 52%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Texas A&M and Mississippi State, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Aggies to win.

How to watch Mississippi State vs. Texas A&M

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPNU, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Reed Arena | College Station, TX

Auburn and Missouri are set to tip off at 9:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at Reed Arena in College Station, TX with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on ESPNU. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.