Mount St. Mary's vs. American odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch First Four

The NCAA Tournament is almost upon us as the First Four matchups are scheduled to tip off on Tuesday. The action will continue with more games Wednesday, including a contest between Mount St. Mary’s and American.

The Mountaineers and Eagles are fighting to advance to the Round of 64 as a No. 16 seed, where they would face No. 1 seed Duke two days later on Friday. The Blue Devils are the current favorite to win the national championship, but are dealing with an injury to star player Cooper Flagg.

Mount St. Mary’s entered the MAAC Tournament as a No. 6 seed, but pulled off three straight wins against higher ranked opponents to win the title. This is the seventh NCAA Tournament appearance for the Mountaineers, though they have never advanced past the first round.

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As for American, this is its fourth appearance in the NCAA Tournament. The Eagles most recently made it as a No. 15 seed in 2014 but bowed out in the first round against Wisconsin.

Odds for Mount St. Mary’s vs. American

American is currently the slight favorite at the moment as the line is set at -2.5 points according to FanDuel. The over/under is set at 129.5.

These two schools actually have quite a bit of history against each other as this will be the 71st meeting between them. American leads the overall series 38-32, also winning the most recent matchup in 2023 by a score of 68-65.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: American
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.9
BPI Win probability (for American): 53.4%
BPI Matchup Quality: 35.0

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Much like Vegas, it predicts American to win, though at a slightly smaller margin of 0.9 points. The BPI gives the Eagles a 53.4% chance at victory, indicating that this is a game that could come down to the wire.

KenPom Predicted final score: American 66, Mount St. Mary’s 65
KenPom Win probability (for American): 52%

Much like the BPI, KenPom expects this to essential be a toss up as to which team will win. It also picks American to win be a narrow one-point margin, so fans should be prepared for an exciting finish.

How to watch Mount St. Mary’s vs. American

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET – Wednesday, March 18
Channel: truTV
Location: UD Arena – Dayton, OH

It’s all setting up for a hard-fought matchup as the Mountaineers and Eagles will face off in Dayton. Duke fans will surely be watching intently as they await to find out who their first-round matchup will be.

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