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NASCAR Toyota Save Mart 350 Odds, Favorites at Sonoma Raceway

JHby:Jonathan Howard06/08/23

Jondean25

Daniel Suárez Sonoma
(Gary Coronado / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)

A little trip to wine country is on the agenda this week for NASCAR and we’ve got the odds and favorites for Sonoma Raceway. The Toyota/Save Mart 350 is a bit of an awkward name for a race, but there have been and will be worse in the future. We aren’t too worried about names though, so let’s get into what Vegas thinks.

Last year, it was Daniel Suárez who won his first Cup Series race ever. Since then, the main amigo has had a rough go of things. Last week’s Enjoy Illinois 300 might have been a turnaround for him, though. P7 in a race where he ran in the top-5 for much of the day. Not bad.

However, it is not Suárez who is favored for this race. There are two favorites. The NASCAR, Bet MGM odds put Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson as the most likely winners this weekend. Reddick picked up a win at COTA earlier this season. Larson is a multi-faceted driver that is favored almost every week no matter the track.

Both NASCAR drivers are listed at 9-2 odds and lead a talented field of drivers.

Right behind Larson are his Hendrick Motorsports teammates. Fresh off his suspension last week, Chase Elliott is back. He has more road course wins in his career than any other active driver. He’s got 11-2 odds to add another win on the road to his record.

Meanwhile, William Byron falls back to 17-2 odds. He is just ahead of Ross Chastain and Kyle Busch, both listed at 9-1. Busch is a two-time Cup Series winner at Sonoma Raceway and picked up a Truck Series win last year.

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NASCAR odds show little love to last year’s winner

All things considered, Daniel Suárez is a little underrated coming into this race. After all, he’s the reigning winner of this race and isn’t even in the top six drivers favored. While the NASCAR odds put him at 16-1 odds, you have to wonder why he isn’t higher.

Of course, he hasn’t had a great stretch of races lately. But to be fair, he didn’t have a good stretch leading up to Sonoma last season, either. Suárez has one less top-5 finish at this point in the season than he did last season But he has four top-10 finishes already compared to just two in a year ago.

So, the NASCAR odds seem to be ignoring those things a little bit. What did happen last year was Suárez went on a bit of a streak after his big win. He rattled off two top-5s and two top-10s in four of the next five races. Maybe a big result on Sunday in the Toyota/Save Mart 350 will once again give his season some life and the Mexican driver some confidence.