NC State vs. Duke odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Wolfpack, Blue Devils in Elite 8

On Sunday, No. 4 seed Duke and No. 11 seed NC State will go head-to-head in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament. It’s not new ground for Duke, which reached the Final Four in the 2021-22 season. However, NC State has not reached the Elite Eight since the 1985-86 season under head coach Jim Valvano.

Duke has turned its season around after suffering an early exit in the ACC Tournament. Most recently, the Blue Devils stunned No. 1 Houston, securing a 54-51 victory. In the win, Kyle Filipowski was spectacular, tallying 16 points and nine rebounds.

NC State has taken an even more unconventional path to the Elite Eight. After a miraculous run through the ACC Tournament, NC State has not slowed down. Now, as the only double-digit seed remaining in the Big Dance, NC State will look to continue to make history.

Odds for NC State vs. Duke

Evidently, Las Vegas isn’t expecting NC State’s jaw-dropping postseason run to go any further. The Blue Devils are currently 6.5-point favorites against the Wolfpack, according to DraftKings. Further, the site listed the money line for Duke at -285 while NC State sits at +230. The point total over/under currently sits at 142.

It’s not a surprise to see oddsmakers’ confidence in the Blue Devils. The team won its first two games in the NCAA Tournament by a combined 55 points. With a win over Houston, Duke looks dangerous as it heads to the final stretch of the postseason.

Final score predictions for NC State vs. Duke

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 78, NC State 70
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 77%

KenPom is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Duke and NC State, KenPom agrees with Vegas, projecting the Blue Devils to walk away with a victory.

How to watch NC State vs. Duke

Time: Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 5:05 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: American Airlines Center — Dallas, TX

Duke and NC State will face off on Sunday at approximately 5:05 p.m. ET. The winner will advance to the Final Four while the loser’s season will come to an end. The game will take place in the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

For fans outside of the area, the game will be broadcast on a to-be-determined network. Additionally, fans can tune into the highly-anticipated matchup on Prime Video.