Norfolk State vs. Florida odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

Florida and Norfolk State are set to meet in a 1 vs. 16 matchup in the West Region. The game will kick off the NCAA Tournament for both teams on Friday night. Needless to say, there’s a heavy favorite heading into the contest. Florida is a No. 1 seed, entering the Big Dance red hot after winning the SEC Tournament last week.

And nobody has really slowed the Gators down all year. The team is 30-4 overall and enters the NCAA Tournament having won 12 of its last 14 games. So let’s get into the odds and the analytics breakdowns for the game.

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Odds for Florida vs. Norfolk State

Coming into the game, Florida is a 28.5-point favorite over Norfolk State, per FanDuel. The Gators are also currently listed at -30000 for the moneyline right now, while the Spartans are sitting at +4000.

The point total for the game is currently set at 153.5 points. The two teams have previously met once, in the NCAA Tournament. Florida won that meeting 84-50 in the Round of 32.

Final score predictions for Florida vs. Norfolk State

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 22.3
BPI Win probability (for Florida): 97.3%
BPI Matchup Quality: 59.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 22.3 points in Florida’s favor. It also gives the Gators a 97.3% chance to win the NCAA Tournament game over the Spartans.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 59.8. That is the second-lowest quality score among the games of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 89, Norfolk State 64
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 99%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this NCAA Tournament game between Florida and Norfolk State, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gators to win by 25.

How to watch Florida vs. Norfolk State

Time: 6:50 p.m. ET
Channel: TNT
Location: Raleigh (N.C.)

Florida and Norfolk State are set to tip off at 6:50 p.m. ET. It will also be played at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina, rather than an on-campus venue, as part of the 2025 NCAA Tournament.

For fans outside of Raleigh, the game can be watched on TNT. Coverage of the NCAA Tournament will air live throughout the day on TNT, TruTV, CBS and TBS.

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