North Carolina vs. Duke odds: Win probability, final score prediction for UNC, Blue Devils

The North Carolina Tar Heels and Duke Blue Devils are preparing for what’s slated to be a huge ACC showdown on Saturday evening.

Entering the highly-anticipated Saturday’s regular season finale, there’s a ton at stake for both teams. The regular season ACC title is potentially on the line, along with some serious bragging rights, as the rivalry between the Tar Heels and the Blue Devils needs no introduction.

Nevertheless, both teams are looking for a win on Saturday and a victory in a conference rivalry. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before North Carolina and Duke tip-off.

Odds for North Carolina vs. Duke

Coming into the game, Duke is a 5.5-point favorite over UNC, per FanDuel. The Blue Devils are also currently listed at -225 for the moneyline right now, while the Tar Heels are sitting at +185. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 150.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference rivals can get to that total when they clash on Saturday. 

Final score predictions for North Carolina vs. Duke

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.7
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 70.1%
BPI Matchup Quality: 89.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 5.7 points in Duke’s favor. It also gives the Blue Devils an 70.1 percent chance to win the game over the Tar Heels. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 89.7, which is among the best for Saturday’s competition. 

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 78, UNC 74
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 66%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Duke and UNC, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Blue Devils to win.

How to watch North Carolina vs. Duke

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium | Durham, NC

Duke and UNC are set to tip off at 6:30 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, NC with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

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For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on ESPN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.