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Northwestern vs. UConn odds: Win probability, final score prediction in NCAA Tournament

On3 imageby:Andrew Graham03/22/24

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Photos by Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports and Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The top overall seed in the NCAA Tournament blasted No. 16 seed Stetson in the Round of 64 on Friday, setting up a Sunday showdown between No. 1 UConn and No. 9 seed Northwestern. The Wildcats outlasted No. 8 seed Florida Atlantic in overtime to advance.

Unsurprisingly, the Huskies are the early and big favorites to win and advance into the Sweet 16 as UConn pursues a repeat national title.

Here’s how the squads stack up heading into Sunday with a Sweet 16 trip on the line.

Odds for NC State vs. Oakland

The Huskies are double-digit favorites headed into the weekend, sitting as 14.5-point favorites over the Wildcats, according to FanDuel. The over/under is set at 135.5 total points.

And the money line is stark, with Northwestern at +860 and UConn at -1600.

Final score predictions for NC State vs. Oakland

KenPom Predicted final score: 75-65, UConn
KenPom win probability: 81%

The Huskies are, unsurprisingly, the easy pick to win according to KenPom. But an upset isn’t out of the question.

And in any regard, the projection of a 10-point win for the Huskies is comfortable, but a far cry from the nearly 20-point average margin of victory for UConn so far in the postseason.

How to watch UConn vs. Northwestern

Time: TBD, Sunday, March 24
Channel: TBD, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Barclays Center — Brooklyn, NY

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Northwestern rolled into the Round of 32 after blitzing Florida Atlantic in overtime, surviving a comeback and last-second shot for the win from the Owls in regulation.

And the Wildcats had an all-hands-on-deck effort to outlast FAU. Guards Ryan Langborg and Boo Buie scored 27 and 22, respectively, as Brooks Barnhizer added a 13 point, 10 rebound double-double. A similar performance will likely be needed to overcome UConn.

A victory for Northwestern, on top of being a notable March upset, would also be a historic achievement for the program, as the Wildcats have never advanced past the Round of 32 and into the Sweet 16 in the NCAA Tournament.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

The Huskies continued to be a buzzsaw, bludgeoning Stetson. UConn lead 52-19 at the half in a generally non-competitive contest. All five starters scored in double figures and star big man Donovan Clingan paced the Huskies with 19.