Oklahoma vs. Baylor odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Sooners, Bears

One of the most exciting matchups on Tuesday’s college basketball schedule resides in the Big 12, as No. 25 Oklahoma will hit the road to take on No. 12 Baylor in a marquee matchup between two ranked conference foes.

The Sooners recently returned to the Top 25 following two straight wins last week, as they’ll look to keep their winning streak going against a Baylor team that most recently suffered a tough narrow loss to Kansas. Falling to the Jayhawks by just three points on Saturday to snap their three-game winning streak.

The stage is set for both squads to secure a ranked, statement win in conference play to achieve their seventh Big 12 win of the season. And with that in mind, here’s all of the information you’ll want to know before tip off from who to bet to how to watch the Big 12 showdown.

Odds for Oklahoma vs. Baylor

Ahead of Tuesday night’s matchup, the Baylor Bears a 6.5-point home favorite against Oklahoma according to FanDuel Sportsbook. Baylor also sits at -260 odds on the moneyline while the Sooners currently have +210 odds of winning the game outright.

The point total for the game also sits at an over-under of 143.5, with both teams notably ranking within the top five in the Big 12 in scoring this season both averaging north of 75 points per game.

Final score predictions for Oklahoma vs. Baylor

BPI Predicted winner: Baylor
BPI Predicted point differential: 6.9
BPI Win probability (for Baylor): 75 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 84.2

ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) is virtually identical to FanDuel’s prediction for Baylor and Oklahoma’s showdown in Texas. Forecasting a point differential in favor of Baylor just .4 points away from Vegas’ prediction, also giving the Bears a 75% chance of winning Tuesday’s game against the Sooners.

The BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success, also giving the ranked Big 12 showdown a matchup quality score of 84.2. Tabbing the marquee matchup between Oklahoma and Baylor as the fourth best game across the college basketball landscape on Tuesday’s slate of games.

KenPom Predicted final score: Baylor 75, Oklahoma 70
KenPom Win probability (for Baylor): 68 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball, designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

Similar to ESPN’s BPI and FanDuel, KenPom also predicts a close victory for Baylor on their home court in Waco on Tuesday, predicting a five point win for the Bears. But KenPom believes the Sooners have slightly better odds of stealing a win on the road, giving Baylor just a 68% chance of winning the game compared to the 75% odds provided by ESPN’s BPI.

How to watch Oklahoma vs. Baylor

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN2, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Waco (TX)

Baylor has played lights out in Foster Pavilion this season, defending their home floor impressively by losing just one game at home this season. Which was notably in a triple overtime thriller against TCU where five Bears played in over 40 minutes of action.

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Meanwhile Oklahoma has only been able to pull off two road wins in conference play so far this season. Defeating Kansas State and Cincinnati away from Norman to push their Big 12 road record to 2-3 on the season.