Skip to main content

Oklahoma vs. Alabama odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra01/04/25

SamraSource

Oklahoma, Alabama
Oklahoma (Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images), Alabama (Alex Martin/Journal and Courier / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

The Oklahoma Sooners and Alabama Crimson Tide are preparing for what should be an incredible clash on the hardwood between two freshly-minted conference rivals in the SEC.

Oklahoma is 13-0 on the season, but they’ve yet to be tested the way they will against Alabama. In their last game, the Sooners defeated Prairie View by 22 points.

As for the Crimson Tide, they’ve bounced back from two tough losses they suffered in November, advising to 11-2 on the season. With that in mind, here’s how a variety of different outlets believe their showdown with Oklahoma will go on Saturday evening.

Odds for Oklahoma vs. Alabama

Coming into the game, Alabama is an 11.5-point favorite over Oklahoma, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Crimson Tide are also currently listed at -800 for the money-line, right now, while the Sooners are sitting at +540. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 166.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for Oklahoma vs. Alabama

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 10.1
BPI Win probability (for Alabama): 83.5%
BPI Matchup Quality: 83.1

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 10.1 points in Alabama’s favor. It also gives the Crimson Tide an 83.5 percent chance to win the game over the Sooners. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 83.1, which is the among the best scores of the day for this college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 88, Oklahoma 78
KenPom Win probability (for Alabama): 80 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Alabama and Oklahoma, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Crimson Tide to capture the dub.

How to watch Oklahoma vs. Alabama

Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Alabama and Oklahoma are set to tip off at 6:00 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, with a rocking crowd expected on hand for this one.

For fans outside of Alabama, the game can be watched on SEC Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.