Oklahoma vs. UConn odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

On Thursday, 8-seed UConn and 9-seed Oklahoma will square off in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The two teams are in the West Region and will play in the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina.

UConn might be the scariest 8-seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Huskies are the back-to-back defending national champions and are hungry to keep their streak alive. UConn is certainly capable. The team won five of its final six games of the season.

Alas, the Huskies aren’t the only ones who got hot in recent weeks. Oklahoma won three of its past four games, and only fell to Kentucky in the SEC Tournament after the Wildcats connected on a mind-boggling buzzer-beater. With standout freshman Jeremiah Fears leading the way, the Sooners will be a tough out in the tournament.

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Odds for Oklahoma vs. UConn

Nonetheless, oddsmakers aren’t willing to bet against UConn head coach Dan Hurley. According to FanDuel, UConn is a 5.5-point favorite against Oklahoma. Additionally, the Huskies boast -220 odds on the money line.

The over/under for the game is set at 147.5 points. For reference, UConn is averaging 77.4 points per game while Oklahoma is averaging 78.8.

Final score predictions for Oklahoma vs. UConn

BPI Predicted winner: UConn
BPI Predicted point differential: 5.3
BPI Win probability (for UConn): 70.0 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 83.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Its expectations are almost identical to Las Vegas’. The BPI model projects UConn to escape with a five-point victory.

KenPom Predicted final score: Oklahoma 76, UConn 75
KenPom Win probability (for Oklahoma): 53 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time without taking factors like injuries into account. Unlike FanDuel and ESPN’s BPI Model, KenPom predicts the Sooners will upset UConn on Friday in nail-biting fashion.

How to watch Oklahoma vs. UConn

Time: 9:25 p.m. ET, March 21
Channel: TNT
Location: Raleigh, NC — Lenovo Center

Oklahoma and UConn will clash at 9:25 p.m. ET on Friday inside the Lenovo Center. The game will air live on TNT.

The winner will advance to face off against the winner between 1-seed Florida and 16-seed Norfolk State. This will be Oklahoma’s first appearance in the NCAA Tournament since the 2020-21 season.

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