Ole Miss vs. Louisville odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch
On Tuesday, No. 23 Ole Miss and Louisville will square off at 9 p.m. ET. The game is a part of the SEC/ACC Men’s Challenge. The Cardinals will host the Rebels inside the KFC Yum! Center.
The two programs have met three times since 1997, with Ole Miss boasting a 2-1 record. However, Louisville had the last laugh, defeating the Rebels 77-68 in their most recent meeting on Dec. 18, 2008. Now, Ole Miss will look to exact revenge on the Cardinals.
There’s no reason to doubt the Rebels’ capability. They are 6-1 this season, with their sole loss coming against reigning national runner-up Purdue. Ole Miss lost by a mere two points to the Boilermakers. Alas, the Rebels aren’t the only ones off to a hot start this season. Louisville is 5-2 and put on a show in the Battle 4 Atlantis.
Odds for Ole Miss vs. Louisville
Evidently, oddsmakers took notice of Louisville’s success in the highly-touted tournament. According to FanDuel, the Cardinals are 3.5-point favorites against Ole Miss. The over/under for the game is set at 150.5 points.
For reference, Louisville is averaging 79.4 points per game while Ole Miss is averaging an even better 82.6. As of this report, the Louisville money line is sitting at -160.
Final score predictions for Ole Miss vs. Louisville
BPI Predicted winner: Louisville
BPI Predicted point differential: 1.8
BPI Win probability (for Louisville): 57.3 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 81.3
ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It’s slightly less confident in the Cardinals than oddsmakers, only favoring them by 1.8 points.
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No matter who emerges victorious in the matchup, ESPN’s BPI expects the game to be a good one, grading the matchup as an 81.3 out of 100. That’s the fourth-highest quality rating of any game on Tuesday evening.
KenPom Predicted final score: Louisville 76, Ole Miss 72
KenPom Win probability (for Louisville): 64 percent
KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. In this instance, KenPom agrees with oddsmakers and BPI, projecting a narrow Louisville victory.
How to watch Ole Miss vs. Louisville
Time: 9 p.m. ET
Channel: ACC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: KFC Yum! Center — Louisville, Ky.
Chucky Hepburn will be a player to watch for Louisville. The Wisconsin transfer is averaging a team-high 14.6 points per game while also pacing the Cardinals with 4.6 assists and 4.0 steals per contest.
For the Rebels, expect Jaylen Murray to be a standout. The senior guard is leading the Rebels with 14.6 points and 4.9 assists per game while shooting an astounding 47.1% from 3-point range.