Oregon vs. Arizona odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

The NCAA Tournament is roaring on, and the East Region will determine their four participants in the Sweet 16 over the weekend. As part of the fun, No. 4-seed Arizona will face No. 5-seed Oregon on Sunday. 

It’s a familiar matchup, as the Wildcats and Ducks used to do battle inside the Pac-12. Now, with Arizona in the Big 12 and Oregon in the Big Ten, it takes on a new life as they’re paired up in March. Both teams look capable of winning it all, as the Wildcats defeated Akron by 28, and the Ducks defeated Liberty by 29 in the Round of 64.

Who will prevail when these two familiar foes see each other once again, with the threat of being eliminated from the NCAA Tournament on the line? Here’s everything you need to know about Oregon taking on Arizona on Sunday.

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Odds for Oregon vs. Arizona

Coming into the game, Arizona is a 3.5-point favorite over Oregon, per FanDuel. The Wildcats are also currently listed at -178 for the money-line right now, while the Ducks are sitting at +146.

The point total for the game is currently set at 152.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for Oregon vs. Arizona

BPI Predicted winner: Arizona
BPI Predicted point differential: 4.8
BPI Win probability (for Arizona): 68.7%
BPI Matchup Quality: 88.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 4.8 points in Arizona’s favor. It also gives the Wildcats a 68.7% chance to win the game over the Ducks.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 88.7. It’s among the best quality scores of Sunday’s college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Arizona 78, Oregon 75
KenPom Win probability (for Arizona): 62%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Arizona and Oregon, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Wildcats to be victorious.

How to watch Oregon vs. Arizona

Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
Channel: TBS
Location: Climate Pledge Arena | Seattle, WA

Ole Miss and Iowa State are set to tip off at 7:45 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, as part of a huge Round of 32 showdown between two of the more fascinating teams in college basketball. For fans outside of Washington, the game can be watched on truTV.

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