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Oregon vs. Arizona odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Pac 12 Tournament

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax03/14/24

BarkleyTruax

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© Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK

Top-seeded Arizona will gets its Pac 12 Tournament slate underway when the Wildcats meet up with Oregon in the quarterfinals on Friday night.

This will be Oregon’s second game in the conference tournament having squeezed out a 68-66 win over UCLA on Thursday. With the top four seeds in the tournament earning a double bye into the quarterfinals, Arizona earned the right to sit back until Friday and will be fresh for their matchup against the Ducks.

These two squads previously met twice during the regular season with the Wildcats sweeping the season series. Oregon has lost those games by a 15.5-point margin, including a 103-83 loss to Arizona on March 2.

Odds for Oregon vs. Arizona

Coming into the game, Oregon is a 10.5-point favorite over Oregon, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Wildcats are currently listed at -690 for the money line as of Thursday evening, while the Ducks are sitting at +480.

The point total for the game is set at 156.5 points. The two squads scored a combined for 186 points during their previous matchup, blowing the current set point total out of the water. Arizona ranks among the highest scoring teams in the country alongside Alabama and Kentucky, scoring a conference-high 89.5 points per game. Meanwhile, Oregon sits second to last in the Pac 12 averaging 68.9 points per game. Still, if these two meet their season averages, the expected over will hit.

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Final score predictions for Oregon vs. Arizona

KenPom Predicted final score: Arizona 84, Oregon 73
KenPom Win probability (for Arizona): 86 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Friday’s game between Illinois and Ohio State, KenPom agrees with Vegas’ decision to have the Wildcats take care of the Ducks in their Pac 12 Tournament quarterfinal matchup.

How to watch Oregon vs. Arizona

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: Pac 12 Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: T-Mobile Arena — Las Vegas, NV

Fubo’s spring offer just kicked off – For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on their first month of Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans.

The opening tip between the Ducks and Wildcats is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET and will air live on the Pac 12 Network live from T-Mobile Arena. It is also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.