Skip to main content

Purdue vs. Michigan odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

On3 imageby:Dan Morrison02/11/25

dan_morrison96

Rubin Jones, Michigan vs. Braden Smith, Purdue
Rubin Jones, Michigan vs. Braden Smith, Purdue - © Alex Martin/Journal and Courier / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Purdue Boilermakers are making the trip to Ann Arbor to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Tuesday night for what should be an exciting Big Ten game. This comes with less than a month left in the regular season and just one game separating these two teams that sit in the top three of the Big Ten standings.

This is actually the second meeting between Purdue and Michigan this season. In their first game, Purdue dominated at home, winning 91-64. That kicked off a four-game when streak for the Boilermakers. The Wolverines, meanwhile, bounced back to win four straight games since then. It’s that game that has separated these two in the Big Ten race. Purdue is currently first while Michigan is tied for second.

Going into this game, the experts are expecting a close battle. So, here’s a look at the odds, current betting line, win probability, and final score predictions for this Big Ten battle.

Odds for Purdue vs. Michigan

Coming into the game, Michigan is a 1.5-point favorite over Purdue, per FanDuel. The Wolverines are also currently listed at -130 for the moneyline, right now, while the Boilermakers are sitting at +108.

The point total for the game is currently set at 150.5 points. In the previous meeting between these two teams, they scored a total of 155 points, 91 of which were from the Boilermakers. In fact, Purdue would go over that number in four straight games compared to the Wolverines going under that number in two of their last three games.

Final score predictions for Purdue vs. Michigan

BPI Predicted winner: Michigan
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.7
BPI Win probability (for UM): 53 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 91.5

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It closely agrees with Vegas that this is going to be a close game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.7 points in Michigan’s favor. It also gives the Wolverines a 53 percent chance to win the game over the Boilermakers.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 91.5, which is the third-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Michigan 76, Purdue 75
KenPom Win probability (for UM): 52 percent

Another predictive system for college basketball is KenPom. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Purdue and Michigan, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Wolverines to win by a single point.

How to watch Purdue vs. Michigan

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: Peacock, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Ann Arbor, MI

Purdue and Michigan are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday night. The game itself is a home game for the Wolverines, with it scheduled to be played at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

For fans who can’t make it to Ann Arbor for the game, it will be available to watch on Peacock and FuboTV. Both of those are streaming options.