Purdue vs. NC State odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Final Four

The Final Four matchups are set, and 1-seed Purdue will take on 11-seed NC State for the right to advance to the national championship game.

Both teams advanced after a hard-fought contest in the NCAA Tournament’s Elite Eight, which you typically come to expect this deep in the Big Dance.

Purdue moved on after outlasting 2-seed Tennessee in a game that went back and forth quite a bit. Superstar big man Zach Edey was virtually unstoppable, going for a career-high 40 points and 16 rebounds in the win.

NC State, on the other hand, survived a rematch against Duke, the third meeting between the two teams this year. Like Purdue, a scintillating performance from a big man was key, with DJ Burns going off for 29 points and four rebounds against the Blue Devils.

Odds for Purdue vs. NC State

Purdue opened as a 9.5-point favorite over NC State, according to FanDuel. The over-under opened at 147.5 points.

The two teams have not previously met this season, and there will be an interesting contrast of styles. However, if both teams reached their season averages, 160.1 points would be scored in the contest.

Final score predictions for Purdue vs. NC State

KenPom predicted final score: Purdue 81, NC State 70
KenPom Win probability (for Purdue): 84%

Like FanDuel, KenPom also gives a considerable edge to Purdue. The Boilermakers have an 84% chance of pulling off a projected 81-70 win over NC State.

Purdue will enter the Final Four as one of the top-rated teams in the overall KenPom rankings. As of Sunday night, the Boilermakers ranked No. 3, while NC State came in at No. 49.

How to watch Purdue vs. NC State

Time: April 6, 6:09 p.m. ET
Channel: TBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Glendale, Ariz.

Purdue and NC State will kick off the Final Four slate of games, hoping to advance to the NCAA Tournament championship game. The game will tip off at 6:09 p.m. ET on TBS.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

The winner of the matchup will punch its ticket to the national title game, which is set for April 8 in Arizona. Purdue hasn’t advanced to the championship game since 1969, while NC State’s last national title game appearance came in 1983, when the Wolfpack won it all.