Robert Morris vs. Alabama odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

The NCAA Tournament is finally here. That includes several interesting first round matchups like the Robert Morris Colonials taking on and trying to upset the Alabama Crimson Tide on Friday.

Alabama comes into this game as a 2-seed. That’s on the back of an excellent season that saw the Crimson Tide go 25-8 overall and 13-5 in SEC play, which was good for a third-place finish in the regular season. However, they would come up short in the SEC Tournament. Robert Morris, for its part, needed the Horizon League Tournament to make the NCAA Tournament, and they were able to do just that. That came after going 26-8 in the regular season and 15-5 in conference play.

It’s a long shot that Robert Morris pulls off the upset. However, it’s also not impossible. So, here’s a look at the odds, line, win probability, and final score prediction for how to watch this NCAA Tournament game.

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Odds for Robert Morris vs. Alabama

Coming into the game, Alabama is a 22.5-point favorite over Robert Morris, per FanDuel. The Crimson Tide are also currently listed at -7000 for the moneyline, right now, while the Colonials are sitting at +2000.

The point total for the game is currently set at 166.5 points. In each of their last four games, the Crimson Tide have gone over that number. Meanwhile, the Colonials have gone under that number in four out of their last five times.

Final score predictions for Robert Morris vs. Alabama

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama
BPI Predicted point differential: 21.1
BPI Win probability (for Alabama): 96.7 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 59.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 21.1 points in Alabama’s favor. It also gives the Crimson Tide a 96.7 percent chance to win the game over the Colonials.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 59.9. That is the 14th-best quality score of the day out of 16 games being played on Friday.

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama 92, Robert Morris 72
KenPom Win probability (for Alabama): 97 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Robert Morris and Alabama, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Crimson Tide to win by 20 points. It also projects that 164 total points will be scored. That’s slightly below the Vegas point total.

How to watch Robert Morris vs. Alabama

Time: 12:40 p.m. ET
Channel: truTV, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Rocket Arena – Cleveland, OH

The game between Robert Morris and Alabama is set to tip off at 12:40 p.m. EST on Friday, March 21st. It’s set to be played in Cleveland, Ohio at Rocket Arena. It’s the regular home of the Cleveland Cavaliers.

For fans who can’t make it to Cleveland, the game is going to be available to watch on truTV. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.

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