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South Carolina vs. Auburn odds: Win probability, final score prediction in SEC Tournament

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax03/14/24

BarkleyTruax

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Feb 14, 2024; Auburn, Alabama, USA; South Carolina Gamecocks guard Meechie Johnson (5) moves around Auburn Tigers forward Jaylin Williams (2) during the first half at Neville Arena. Mandatory Credit: John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

South Carolina and Auburn will meet in a quarterfinal matchup of the SEC Tournament on Friday afternoon.

Auburn was given the double bye as the SEC’s four-seed, while the Gamecocks were handed the five-seed. That meant South Carolina had to play in the second-round on Thursday where they took care of business against Arkansas, cruising to an 80-66 win over the Razorbacks to open the Gamecocks’ tournament play.

Now, South Carolina will look to avenge its 101-61 loss to Auburn on Feb. 14 that saw the Tigers score 50 or more points in each half. That was the one and only time the two SEC programs matched up during the regular season and is the difference between the two program’s final SEC Tournament seeds despite both finishing 13-5 in conference play during the regular season.

Odds for South Carolina vs. Auburn

Coming into the game, Auburn is a 7.5-point favorite over South Carolina, per FanDuel Sportsbook. The Tigers are currently listed at -320 for the money line as of Thursday evening, while the Gamecocks are sitting at +250.

The point total for the game is set at 141.5 points. The two squads scored a combined for 162 points during their previous matchup. Auburn ranks fourth in the conference in points per game (83.5), while South Carolina sits in the bottom three averaging 72.2 points per game. Still, if these two meet their season averages, the over will hit.

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Final score predictions for South Carolina vs. Auburn

KenPom Predicted final score: Auburn 75, South Carolina 67
KenPom Win probability (for Auburn): 75 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For Saturday’s game between South Carolina and Auburn, KenPom agrees with Vegas’ decision to have the Tigers take care of the Gamecocks in their quarterfinal matchup.

How to watch South Carolina vs. Auburn

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Bridgestone Arena — Nashville, TN

Fubo’s spring offer just kicked off – For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on their first month of Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans.

The opening tip between the Spartans and Boilermakers is scheduled for Noon ET and will air live on ESPN and the ESPN app. It is also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.