St. Francis vs. Alabama State odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch First Four

The NCAA Tournament has been set, which means the First Four will kick off this year’s March Madness slate across two days beginning on Tuesday, March 18. To kick it all off, St. Francis (PA) will take on Alabama State in a matchup between two No. 16 seeds.

St. Francis was a bid-stealer having won the Northeast Conference Tournament with a 16-17 record overall. They’ve won their last six games and haven’t lost since Feb. 15 when they dropped to 10-17. For Alabama State, they enter the NCAA Tournament 19-15 overall. They also enter Tuesday’s matchup on a six-game winning streak.

Ahead of the First Four, the odds, final score prediction and more have been updated heading into the matchup against St. Francis and Alabama State. Here’s everything you need to know.

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Odds for St. Francis vs. Alabama State

Entering the First Four, Alabama State (-178) is a 3.5-point favorite over St. Francis (+146) in Dayton, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 139.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Alabama State
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.1
BPI Win probability (for Alabama State): 58.4%
BPI Matchup Quality: 27.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.1 points in Alabama State’s favor. It also gives them a 58.4 percent chance to win the game over the St. Francis.

KenPom Predicted final score: Alabama State 72, St. Francis 70
KenPom Win probability (for Alabama State): 59%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Alabama State and St. Francis, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting St. Francis to lose.

How to watch Alabama State vs. St. Francis

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET – Tuesday, March 17
Channel: truTV, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: UD Arena – Dayton, OH

The winner of Tuesday’s matchup between St. Francis and Alabama State will advance to the first round of the NCAA Tournament to take on No. 1 overall seed Auburn on Tuesday inside Rupp Arena.

Following St. Francis vs. Alabama State, two No. 11 seeds will duke it out in the First Four as North Carolina takes on San Diego State on the same floor. The following day, Mount St. Marys will play American, followed by Xavier vs. Texas to round out the First Four in Dayton.

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