Stetson vs. UConn odds: Win probability, final score prediction in NCAA Tournament

The Stetson Hatters are coming into the NCAA Tournament as a 16-seed where they’ll take on the UConn Huskies in their opening matchup. The Huskies enter March Madness as a one-seed and one of the favorites to win it all.

It was an excellent season for Stetson, with the Hatters going 22-12 this season. The Hatters then went on to win the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament to punch their ticket to the Big Dance. On the other side of the floor, UConn is the defending national champion that dominated opponents all season long. That culminated in winning both the Big East regular season and tournaments.

16 seeds are rarely able to upset a top-seeded team. However, anything is possible in March and with that, here’s a look at the odds, win probability, final score predictions, and how to watch Stetson take on UConn.

Odds for Stetson vs. UConn

Coming into the game, UConn is a 26.5-point favorite over Stetson, per FanDuel. The Huskies are also listed at -10000 for the moneyline, while the Hatters are currently at +3000.

The over-under point total for the game is currently set at 145.5 points. This season, UConn is averaging 81.47 points per game while Stetson is averaging 77.5 points per game. That means, if both teams hit their season average, 158.97 points will be scored.

Final score predictions for Stetson vs. UConn

BPI Predicted winner: UConn
BPI Predicted point differential: 26.1
BPI Win probability (for UConn): 98.7 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 65.5

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In this case, it agrees with Vegas about this opening matchup. BPI projects UConn to win, with a 26.1-point differential given for the game. It also gives the Huskies a 98.7 percent chance to win.

BPI is giving this game a matchup quality score of 65.5, which is the 15th-best score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: UConn 86, Stetson 63
KenPom Win probability (for UConn): 98 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball that is designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between the Huskies and Hatters, KenPom agrees with both BPI and Vegas, projecting UConn to win by 23 points.

How to watch Stetson vs. UConn

Time: March, 22nd – 2:45 p.m. EST
Channel: CBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Barclays Center – Brooklyn, NY

Stetson and UConn are set to tip off at 2:45 p.m. EST on Friday, March 22nd. The game is going to be played at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, which is relatively close to UConn’s campus, especially compared to the trip Stetson needs to make from Florida.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

For fans who can’t make it to the game, it will air on CBS. There is also the option to stream the game through Prime Video.