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Tennessee vs. Texas odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko01/11/25

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Tennessee and Texas are set for a big SEC basketball showdown and the odds and predictions are in for the Vols and Longhorns.

Tennessee lost its first game of the year to Florida and Texas has lost two games in a row. So naturally, something has to give.

Without further ado, let’s dive into the latest odds and predictions for Tennessee and Texas.

Odds for Tennessee vs. Texas

Coming into the game, Tennessee is a 5.5 point favorite on the road against Texas, per FanDuel. The total for the game was set at 136.5 points.

If you want to bet straight up, the Vols are listed as a -230 favorite and the Longhorns’ odds are +188.

Final score predictions for Tennessee vs. Texas

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 1.9
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 57.4%
BPI Matchup Quality: 93.2

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. The model agrees with Vegas and has the Vols as the favorite over the Longhorns.

This is the third highest rated matchup of the Saturday slate, only behind Alabama-Texas A&M and Iowa State-Texas Tech.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 69, Texas 64
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 65%

KenPom also predicted Tennessee to beat Texas in this matchup but the margin is bigger. In fact, this metric favors the Vols more than ESPN and is more in line with FanDuel when it comes to the final score.

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

How to watch Tennessee vs. Texas

Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN
Location: Austin, Texas

Clear your calendar for Saturday evening as the Vols and Longhorns tipoff at 6:00 p.m. ET. Can Texas snap the skid?

The game can be found on ESPN nationwide.