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Tennessee vs. Auburn odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch SEC Tournament

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax03/15/25

BarkleyTruax

Tennessee Basketball | John Reed-Imagn Images
(John Reed-Imagn Images) Jan 25, 2025; Auburn, Alabama, USA; Auburn Tigers guard Denver Jones (2) shoots the ball against Tennessee Volunteers forward Cade Phillips (12) and guard Jordan Gainey (11) during the second half at Neville Arena.

All top-four seeds in the SEC Tournament advanced to the semifinals in Nashville on Friday, which means No. 1 seed Auburn will take on No. 4 seed Tennessee. The winner will advance to the conference championship game on Sunday.

The Tigers staved off Ole Miss 62-57 during Auburn’s tournament opener on Friday. Meanwhile, the Volunteers were able to keep control of Texas in their quarterfinal matchup. Tennessee eventually defeated the Longhorns 83-72 to advance.

Ahead of tip-off, the odds, final score prediction and more have been updated heading into Saturday’s semifinal slate in the SEC. Here’s everything you need to know.

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Odds for SEC Tournament semifinal

Entering Saturday’s SEC semifinal matchup, Auburn (-192) is a 4.5-point favorite over Tennessee (+158) in Nashville, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 140.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Auburn
BPI Predicted point differential: 3.5
BPI Win probability (for Tigers): 63.7%
BPI Matchup Quality: 96.2

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 3.5 points in the Tigers’ favor. It also gives Auburn a 63.7 percent chance to win the game over the Volunteers.

KenPom Predicted final score: Auburn 72, Tennessee 69
KenPom Win probability (for Tigers): 61%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Auburn and Tennessee, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Volunteers to lose.

How to watch Tennessee vs. Auburn

Time: 1 p.m. ET – Saturday, March 15
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Bridgestone Arena – Nashville, TN

Saturday will mark the second time these two teams have met this season. The first happened in January on Auburn’s home court, which the Tigers won in a low-scoring 53-51 victory after Miles Kelly hit the go-ahead 3-pointer with 30 seconds left in regulation.

The winner of this matchup will face either Alabama or Florida in the SEC Championship game on Sunday. Tip-off for that matchup is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET live on ESPN.

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