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Tennessee vs. Kentucky odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax•02/10/25•

BarkleyTruax

Kentucky's Jaxson Robinson (2) and Tennessee's Darlinstone Dubar (8) battle for the rebound during an NCAA college basketball game on Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2025, in Knoxville, Tenn. (© Saul Young/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)
Kentucky's Jaxson Robinson (2) and Tennessee's Darlinstone Dubar (8) battle for the rebound during an NCAA college basketball game on Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2025, in Knoxville, Tenn. (© Saul Young/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

No. 5 Tennessee travels to Lexington for a mid-week matchup against the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats inside Rupp Arena on Tuesday night.

This is the second time the two programs have met during the regular season. The first meeting between the two programs took place on Jan. 28, where the Wildcats earned a 78-73 win over the Volunteers in Knoxville.

Ahead of the top 25 rematch, here’s everything you need to know about Tennessee vs. Kentucky.

Odds for Volunteers vs. Wildcats

Entering Tuesday’s eagerly-anticipated matchup, the Volunteers (-130) are a 2.5-point favorite over Kentucky (+108) on the road, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 149.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.9
BPI Win probability (for Volunteers): 53.7%
BPI Matchup Quality: 93.8

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.9 points in the Vols’ favor. It gives Tennessee just over a 50% chance to beat the Wildcats in Rupp Arena.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 74, Kentucky 72
KenPom Win probability (for Volunteers): 70%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Tennessee and Kentucky, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Wildcats to lose.

How to watch Tennessee vs. Kentucky

Time: 7 p.m. ET – Tuesday, Feb. 11
Channel: ESPN, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Rupp Arena – Lexington, KY

On Monday, Kentucky head coach Mark Pope revealed that standout guard Jaxson Robinson will likely be unavailable for the Wildcats on Tuesday after injuring himself at practice on Friday. He averages 13.3 points per game as Kentucky’s second-leading scorer.

He was key in Kentucky’s win over the Vols in Knoxville, scoring 17 points and draining four 3-pointers while playing 35 minutes for the Wildcats.

For Tennessee, they were led by Igor Milicic Jr.’s 19 points and nine rebounds. He was responsible for four of Tennessee’s 11 3-point baskets during their first meeting. He was joined by a combined 28 points from Zakai Zeigler and Chaz Lanier.

The Vols haven’t lost a game since falling to the Wildcats. They’ve since defeated Florida and Missouri, both ranked opponents, as well as Oklahoma on the road. For Kentucky, they’re 1-2 in their last three games.