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Texas A&M vs. Missouri odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Barkley-Truaxby:Barkley Truax02/08/25

BarkleyTruax

Wade Taylor IV, Texas A&M Aggies guard
Texas A&M guard Wade Taylor IV drives the floor in a game against Missouri on Feb. 18, 2023. (Jay Biggerstaff / Getty Images)

No. 15 Missouri hosts No. 10 Texas A&M on Saturday afternoon for one of what will be two top-25 matchups in the SEC this weekend. They join No. 1 Auburn vs. No. 6 Florida in headlining a loaded weekend slate across the conference.

Texas A&M is coming off their bye week having defeated South Carolina 76-72 last weekend. For Missouri, their mid-week game didn’t go as planned, falling to No. 4 Tennessee 85-81 on Wednesday after their 27-point win over No. 14 Mississippi State last Saturday.

Overall, the Tigers play their best basketball in Columbia, as they’re 15-0 on their home court this season. Meanwhile, the Aggies are 3-3 in true road games but have won two of their last three matchups in such games.

Here’s everything you need to know before Saturday’s matchup between Texas A&M and Missouri.

Odds for Aggies vs. Tigers

Entering Saturday’s matchup, the Tigers (-182) are a 4.5-point favorite over Texas A&M (+150) at home, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

The over/under total is set at 144.5 points.

Final score predictions

BPI Predicted winner: Missouri
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.2
BPI Win probability (for Tigers): 50.9%
BPI Matchup Quality: 88.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 0.2 points in Missouri’s favor. The margin is so small, it appears BPI is giving Missouri the nod as the home team.

KenPom Predicted final score: Missouri 74, Texas A&M 71
KenPom Win probability (for Tigers): 59%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Missouri and Texas A&M, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Aggies to lose.

How to watch Missouri vs. Texas A&M

Time: 3:30 p.m. ET – Saturday, Feb. 8
Channel: SEC Network, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Mizzou Arena – Columbia, MO

Both Missouri and Texas A&M are neck-and-neck in the current SEC standings. Heading into Saturday, Missouri (17-5, 6-3 SEC) is 0.5 games ahead of the Aggies (17-5, 6-4) having played one less conference game than Texas A&M to this point in the season.

That half game seperates five teams (Mizzou, Florida, Texas A&M, Tennessee, Ole Miss) between the potential 3-seed in the SEC tournament, and the No. 7 seed. With nine teams in the SEC ranked in the current AP Top 25 poll, the margin for error is as slim as ever heading into the weekend.