Texas vs. Mississippi State odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

The Texas Longhorns are heading on the road to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. It’s a key SEC battle in the final week of the regular season as teams battle for seeding ahead of the conference tournament.

Mississippi State comes into this game ranked in the AP Top 25. That’s despite having lost two out of their last three games. At 8-8 in SEC play with two games left, the Bulldogs are hoping to finish on a high note. Texas, meanwhile, is just 5-11 in SEC play in what has been a difficult first season in the conference. With three straight losses, the Longhorns know they need to turn things around quickly.

Ahead of that game, here is a look at the Vegas odds, the current line, win probability, final score predictions, and how fans can watch the game.

Odds for Texas vs. Mississippi State

Coming into the game, Mississippi State is a 6.5-point favorite over Texas, per FanDuel. The Bulldogs are also currently listed at -280 for the moneyline, right now, while the Longhorns are sitting at +225.

The point total for the game is currently set at 150.5 points. Texas has gone over that number in five of their last six games. Mississippi State, meanwhile, has gone over that number in two of their last three games.

Final score predictions for Texas vs. Mississippi State

BPI Predicted winner: Mississippi State
BPI Predicted point differential: 3.7
BPI Win probability (for MSU): 64.4 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 82.3

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas, making the Bulldogs the favorite in this game. BPI is projecting a point differential of 3.7 points in Mississippi State’s favor. It also gives the Bulldogs a 64.4 percent chance to win the game over the Longhorns.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 82.3, which is the third-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Mississippi State 78, Texas 71
KenPom Win probability (for MSU): 73 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Texas and Mississippi State, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Bulldogs to win by seven points. Notably, that difference would cover the Vegas spread and the 149 total points would be less than the point total.

How to watch Texas vs. Mississippi State

Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SECN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Starkville, MS

Texas and Mississippi State are set to tip off at 8:00 p.m. EST. It will also be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi. This will be the final home game of the regular season for the Bulldogs.

For fans who can’t make it to Starkville, the game can be watched on SEC Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.