Texas vs. Texas A&M odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

For the first time since 2019 and the first time as an SEC matchup, the Texas Longhorns and Texas A&M Aggies are set to do battle in men’s basketball on Saturday.

Both squads are 11-2 heading into the matchup, however, the Aggies are ranked No. 13 in the latest AP Top 25 poll while the Longhorns remain unranked. A win against the Aggies on the road will certainly help their case.

Texas holds an 80-59 record over the Aggies and historically has the Aggies’ number. The Longhorns have won six of the last seven meetings dating back to 2011. They’ll look to continue that trend in College Station on Saturday — but does Vegas agree?

Odds for Longhorns vs. Aggies

Entering Saturday’s SEC-opening matchup, Texas A&M (-275) has emerged as a 6.5-point favorite over Texas (+220) at home.

The over/under total is set at 140.5 points.

Final score predictions for Texas vs. Texas A&M

BPI Predicted winner: Texas A&M
BPI Predicted point differential: 3.3
BPI Win probability (for Aggies): 63%
BPI Matchup Quality: 90.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 3.3 points in the Aggies’ favor. It also gives the Aggies a 63 percent chance to win the game over the Longhorns.

KenPom Predicted final score: Texas A&M 73, Texas 66
KenPom Win probability (for Texas A&M): 71%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Texas and Texas A&M, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Longhorns to lose.

How to watch Aggies vs. Longhorns

Time: 8 p.m. ET – Saturday, Jan. 4
Channel: SEC Network, Fubo TV (Streaming)
Location: Reed Arena – College Station, TX

It’s no surprise that both teams are off to a hot start. The SEC boasts 15 Quad 1 teams of its 16 members with South Carolina being the lone exception. The Aggies are one of 11 teams ranked in the latest AP Top 25 poll and haven’t lost since Thanksgiving. They’re also 11-1 since losing the season opener.

For the Longhorns, their only losses are to Ohio State in the season opener — a team that Texas A&M beat by double digits less than two weeks later — and two-time defending national champions, the UConn Huskies.