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Texas vs. Texas A&M odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch SEC Tournament

On3 imageby:Dan Morrison03/13/25

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Hayden Hefner, Texas A&M. Kadin Shedrick, Texas
Hayden Hefner, Texas A&M. Kadin Shedrick, Texas - © Scott Wachter-Imagn Images

The rivalry between the Texas Longhorns and Texas A&M Aggies is one of the great ones in college athletics. Now, the two are set to play for a third time this year — the first year that the Longhorns are in the SEC — this one coming in the second round of the SEC Tournament.

Coming into the game, the Aggies had a first round bye as the five-seed in the SEC Tournament. The Longhorns, meanwhile, beat Vanderbilt in their first round. This comes in a stretch that’s vital for the Longhorns, as they are trying to secure their place in the NCAA Tournament. In the previous two meetings of this game, the home team won each game respectively.

Ahead of this game, here’s a look at the odds for when the Longhorns and Aggies tip off. That includes looking at the current betting line, final score predictions, and how to watch this key SEC Tournament matchup.

Odds for Texas vs. Texas A&M

Coming into the game, Texas A&M is a 6.5-point favorite over the Longhorns, per FanDuel. The Aggies are also currently listed at -260 for the moneyline. Meanwhile, the Longhorns are sitting at +210 for this game.

The point total for the game is currently set at 139.5 points. This season, the Longhorns and Aggies played twice already this season, with both games coming in January. Those games ended up with 140 and 139 points scored in each of them, respectively.

Final score predictions for Texas vs. Texas A&M

BPI Predicted winner: Aggies
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.9
BPI Win probability (for Aggies): 61.2 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 86.5

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In general, while it agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game, BPI does have a closer point differential. BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.9 points in Texas A&M’s favor. It also gives the Aggies a 61.2 percent chance to win the game.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 86.5. That is the fourth-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Texas A&M 72, Texas 67
KenPom Win probability (for Aggies): 68 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between the Longhorns and Aggies, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting that Texas A&M is going to win the game. In this case, that’s by five points. Notably, it is also projecting 139 total points are scored.

How to watch Texas vs. Texas A&M

Time: 3:30 p.m. EST
Channel: SECN
Location: Nashville, TN

Texas and Texas A&M are tentatively scheduled to tip-off at 3:30 p.m. EST. In reality, the game is dependent on what time the earlier afternoon game ends, and this one will begin about 25 minutes after that game ends.

As part of the SEC Tournament, the game will be at a neutral site at Bridgestone Arena in downtown Nashville. For fans who can’t make it to Tennessee, the game can be watched on SECN.