UConn vs. Florida odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch NCAA Tournament

A heavyweight battle is set for the Round of 32 in the West Region. The top-seeded Florida Gators will try to end the three-peat dream of the UConn Huskies on Sunday.

Florida has been incredible throughout the 2024-25 campaign. They won the SEC Tournament, and they continued the good vibes into the Round of 64. The Gators took care of business against No. 16-seed Norfolk State in the Round of 64.

Meanwhile, the back-to-back, reigning champions of the college basketball world defeated Oklahoma in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Will they be able to keep the good times rolling against Florida? It’ll be their toughest challenge yet, but betting against the Huskies in the NCAA Tournament isn’t always viable. Here’s everything you need to know.

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Odds for UConn vs. Florida

Coming into the game, Florida is a 9.5-point favorite over UConn, per FanDuel. The Gators are also currently listed at -465 for the money-line right now, while the Huskies are sitting at +350.

The point total for the game is currently set at 151.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for UConn vs. Florida

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 3.7
BPI Win probability (for Florida): 64.5%
BPI Matchup Quality: 93.6

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 3.7 points in Florida’s favor. It also gives the Gators a 64.5% chance to win the game over the Huskies.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 93.6. It’s the best quality score of Sunday’s college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 82, UConn 71
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 83%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Florida and UConn, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gators to be victorious.

How to watch UConn vs. Florida

Time: 12:10 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS
Location: Lenovo Center | Raleigh, NC

Florida and UConn are set to tip off at 12:10 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, as part of a huge Round of 32 showdown between two of the more fascinating teams in college basketball. For fans outside of North Carolina, the game can be watched on CBS.

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