UNC vs. Duke odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch ACC Tournament

For the second time in a week, the top rivalry in all of college basketball will take center stage. The ACC Tournament will deliver a third showdown between the Duke Blue Devils and the North Carolina Tar Heels this season.

There’s a ton of storylines heading into this one. UNC played Duke tough last weekend, at least in the first half. Then, the Blue Devils pulled away, defeating their rival by 13 points inside the Dean E. Smith Center. Now, the Tar Heels can get some revenge, and strengthen their NCAA Tournament resume if they pull an upset in Charlotte.

North Carolina has defeated Notre Dame and Wake Forest this far in the ACC Tournament, while Duke took care of business against Georgia Tech. The winner will advance to the Semifinals, and the status of Blue Devils star Cooper Flagg remains to be seen. All that considered, check out the odds for the game below.

Odds for UNC vs. Duke

Coming into the game, Duke is a 7.5-point favorite over North Carolina, per FanDuel. The Blue Devils are also currently listed at -345 for the money-line right now, while the Tar Heels are sitting at +270.

The point total for the game is currently set at 154.5 points. It’s certainly feasible that these two teams reach that number when they face off, and all the chips are pushed to the center of the table.

Final score predictions for UNC vs. Duke

BPI Predicted winner: Duke
BPI Predicted point differential: 11.2
BPI Win probability (for Duke): 85.7%
BPI Matchup Quality: 88.4

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 11.2 points in Duke’s favor. It also gives the Blue Devils an 85.7% chance to win the game over the Tar Heels.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 88.4. It’s among the best quality score of Friday’s college basketball slate.

KenPom Predicted final score: Duke 84, North Carolina 70
KenPom Win probability (for Duke): 89%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Duke and North Carolina, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Blue Devils to be victorious.

How to watch UNC vs. Duke

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN
Location: Spectrum Center | Charlotte, NC

Duke and North Carolina are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, as part of a huge ACC Tournament showdown between two of the more fascinating teams in college basketball. For fans outside of North Carolina, the game can be watched on ESPN.