UNC vs. Florida odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

The North Carolina Tar Heels and Florida Gators are getting ready for an interesting non-conference matchup on Tuesday night. It’s one that UNC needs as they look to establish momentum while Florida is looking to keep the good times rolling this season.

The Gators are coming into the game against UNC unbeaten. That includes wins over Power Four conference opponents in three of their last four games. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels have bounced back to win two in a row following a three-game skid against some of college basketball’s best teams this season.

Ahead of that game, here is a look at the odds, final score predictions, win probability, and how to watch UNC and Florida play.

Odds for North Carolina vs. Florida

Coming into the game, Florida is a 3.5-point favorite over UNC, per FanDuel. That Gators are currently set at -172 for the moneyline in this game while the Tar Heels are listed at +142 for the moneyline.

The point total for this game is currently set at 166.5 points. Neither of the two teams playing in this game hit that number in their last game played.

Final score predictions for North Carolina vs. Florida

BPI Predicted winner: UNC
BPI Predicted point differential: 0.1 points
BPI Win probability (for UNC): 50.3 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 92.7

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. Interestingly, BPI actually disagrees with Vegas on this game and has the Tar Heels favored by the slightest of margins at 0.1 points. It also gives UNC a 50.3 percent chance to win the game over the Spartans.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 92.7, which is the best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 84, UNC 82
KenPom Win probability (for Florida): 60 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between North Carolina and Florida, KenPom disagrees with BPI. Instead, it sides with Vegas, projecting the Gators to win a close game.

How to watch North Carolina vs. Florida

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Spectrum Center — Charlotte, North Carolina

UNC and Florida are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. in Charlotte. That makes it a neutral site game, though one that is going to be played much closer to Chapel Hill than to Gainesville. Instead, the game will be played at the Spectrum Center, home of the Charlotte Hornets.

For fans who can’t make it to the game, it will air on ESPN. It will also be available for streaming via FuboTV, which offers a free trial.