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Vanderbilt vs. Florida odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

On3 imageby:Dan Morrison02/04/25

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Chris Manon, Vanderbilt. Thomas Haugh, Florida
Chris Manon, Vanderbilt. Thomas Haugh, Florida - © Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images & © Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images

The SEC has proven to be one of, if not the most competitive conferences in all of college basketball. That makes every game important, and that includes the game between the Vanderbilt Commodores and the Florida Gators on Tuesday.

The Gators have been one of the best teams in the entire country this season but are coming off a bad road loss to the Tennessee Volunteers. In that game, Florida only scored 44 points and saw Walter Clayton injure his ankle. That also snapped a three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt is now 4-4 in SEC play and is coming off a 30-point loss to the Oklahoma Sooners.

With Florida at 5-3 in SEC play while Vanderbilt sits at 4-4, this game is going to have a major impact on the conference standings. Either the Gators could pull away from the field a bit more or the Commodores could potentially catch them in the standings.

Odds for Vanderbilt vs. Florida

Coming into the game, Florida is a 12.5-point favorite over Vanderbilt, per FanDuel. The Gators are also currently listed at -850 for the moneyline, right now, while the Commodores are sitting at +570.

The point total for the game is currently set at 155.5 points. In each of the last four games Florida has played, the under would have hit. However, that over would have hit in two of the last three games for Vanderbilt.

Final score predictions for Vanderbilt vs. Florida

BPI Predicted winner: Florida
BPI Predicted point differential: 11.1
BPI Win probability (for UF): 85.6 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 80.5

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 11.1 points in Florida’s favor. It also gives the Gators an 85.6 percent chance to win the game over the Commodores.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 80.5, which is the eighth-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Florida 85, Vanderbilt 71
KenPom Win probability (for UF): 89 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Vanderbilt and Florida, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gators to win by 14 points.

How to watch Vanderbilt vs. Florida

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SECN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Gainesville, FL

Vanderbilt and Florida are set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. EST. It will also be played at the O’Connell Center in Gainesville, Florida.

For fans outside of Gainesville, the game can be watched on SECN. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for a free trial.