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Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Commodores, Gamecocks

Stephen Samraby:Steve Samra02/10/24

SamraSource

Vanderbilt, South Carolina
© Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports

The Vanderbilt Commodores and South Carolina Gamecocks are preparing for what’s slated to be a huge SEC showdown on Saturday afternoon.

Entering Saturday’s clash, the Commodores are 6-16 on the season, coming off of a loss at home over the Kentucky Wildcats, which was their fourth in their last five games. On the other hand, the Gamecocks have won a majority of their games, and enter Saturday with an impressive 20-3 record.

Both teams are looking for win on Saturday, and a victory in a conference rivalry. Time will tell, but here’s everything you need to know before Vanderbilt and South Carolina tip off.

Odds for Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina

Coming into the game, South Carolina is an 11.5-point favorite over Vanderbilt, per FanDuel. The Gamecocks are also currently listed at -700 for the moneyline, right now, while the Commodores are sitting at +500. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 130.5 points. We’ll see if these two conference rivals can get to that total when they clash on Saturday. 

Final score predictions for Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina

BPI Predicted winner: South Carolina
BPI Predicted point differential: 17.0
BPI Win probability (for South Carolina): 95.5%
BPI Matchup Quality: 54.9

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 17.0 points in South Carolina’s favor. It also gives the Gamecocks a 95.5 percent chance to win the game over the Commodores. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 54.9, which isn’t among the top showdowns on Saturday, but we’ll see if they can deliver an exciting showdown. 

KenPom Predicted final score: South Carolina 73, Vanderbilt 58
KenPom Win probability (for South Carolina): 91 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between South Carolina and Vanderbilt, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Gamecocks to win.

How to watch Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina

Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Colonial Life Arena | Columbia, SC

South Carolina and Vanderbilt are set to tip off at 1:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Colonial Life Arena in Columbia, SC with a raucous crowd expected to be at the showdown.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of the area, the game can be watched on SEC Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option to save for new subscribers.