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Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee odds: Current line, win probability, final score prediction, how to watch

Grant Grubbs Profile Pictureby:Grant Grubbs•02/14/25•

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Chaz Lanier, Tennessee Basketball | Denny Simmons / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
(Denny Simmons / The Tennessean / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images) Vanderbilt Commodores guard MJ Collins Jr. (2) guards Tennessee Volunteers guard Chaz Lanier (2) during their game at Memorial Gym in Nashville, Tenn., Saturday, Jan. 18, 2025.

On Saturday, Vanderbilt (17-7, 5-6) will square off against in-state rival No. 5 Tennessee (20-5, 7-5) inside Thompson-Boling Arena. It will be a rematch between the two teams after Vanderbilt defeated the Volunteers 76-75 on Jan. 18.

February hasn’t been kind to the Commodores. They have lost three of their last four games, most recently falling 80-68 to No. 1 Auburn. The matchup against the Volunteers on Saturday will be pivotal to Vanderbilt’s standing in the postseason picture.

Tennessee won’t make it easy on the Commodores. The Volunteers are hungry for a win after suffering an upset loss against Kentucky on Tuesday. The oddsmakers expect head coach Rick Barnes and Co. to bounce back this weekend.

Odds for Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee

According to FanDuel, Tennessee is a 12.5-point favorite over Vanderbilt. Further, the Volunteers are -1100 on the money line. The over/under for the game is set at 137.5 points.

It’s no surprise that the over/under is relatively low. The Vols have one of the best defenses in the country, only allowing 59.9 points per game. UT’s defense only becomes more suffocating when it’s fueled by the thousands of cheering fans inside Thompson-Boling Arena.

Final score predictions for Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 13.1
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 89.1 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 81.5

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with FanDuel and the Volunteers to handily defeat the Commodores on Saturday despite the outcome of the two teams’ last meeting.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 76, Vanderbilt 62
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 90 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. KenPom is even more confident in Tennessee than Las Vegas. It projects the Volunteers to run away with a 14-point victory.

How to watch Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee

Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Knoxville, Tenn.

Fans can catch the highly-anticipated rematch between Vanderbilt and Tennessee on ESPN at 1 p.m. ET Saturday. They can also stream the SEC Showdown on FuboTV.

Unlike the first time the two teams met, the Volunteers will have the homecourt advantage on Saturday. Tennessee fans will undoubtedly pack Thompson-Boling Arena to cheer on their beloved Volunteers.